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BRA Brasiilia Série D · Final ·

Nacional AM vs ABC

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score1–2Ennustus 1–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit36%
Viik32%
Võõrsilvõit32%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Kaotatud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional AMABC
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla72% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
36% / 32% / 32%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Topeltvõimalus1268%1.47
Üle 28% · Alla 72%Goals 2.5Alla72%1.39
Jah 37% · Ei 63%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
10.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapABC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional AM win36%2.782.5035.7%+0.3 pp
Viik32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
ABC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional AM0.98

Kodu share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 28% · Alla 72%

ABC0.86

Võõras share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 37% · Ei 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Nacional AM

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punktid6

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

ABC

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Võit probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.86
Nacional AMABC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional AM signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ABC signalKodu matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Nacional AM vs ABC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional AM võit 36%,Viik 32%,ABC võit 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Üle 2.5 28% · Current selection Alla