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BRA Brasil - Serie D · Final ·

Nacional AM vs ABC

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–2Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante32%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional AMABC
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de72% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 32% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Doble Oportunidad1268%1.47
Más de 28% · Menos de 72%Goals 2.5Menos de72%1.39
Sí 37% · No 63%Ambos equipos marcanNo63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapABC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional AM win36%2.782.5035.7%+0.3 pp
Empate32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
ABC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional AM0.98

Local share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 28% · Menos de 72%

ABC0.86

Visitante share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Nacional AM

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

ABC

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.86
Nacional AMABC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional AM signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ABC signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Nacional AM vs ABC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional AM ganada 36%,Empate 32%,ABC ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Más de 2.5 28% · Current selection Menos de