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BRA Brasil - Serie D · Partido ·

Esporte Clube São José vs Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local25%
Empate34%
Victoria visitante41%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Esporte Clube São JoséGama
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de76% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
25% / 34% / 41%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Esporte Clube São José win (25%)Doble OportunidadX275%1.33
Más de 24% · Menos de 76%Goals 2.5Menos de76%1.32
Sí 31% · No 69%Ambos equipos marcanNo69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Esporte Clube São José win25%4.00
Empate34%2.94
Gama win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Esporte Clube São José0.64

Local share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 24% · Menos de 76%

Gama1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Esporte Clube São José

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Gama

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Ganado probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Esporte Clube São JoséGama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Esporte Clube São José signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gama signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Esporte Clube São José vs Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Esporte Clube São José ganada 25%,Empate 34%,Gama ganada 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Más de 2.5 24% · Current selection Menos de