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BRA Brasil - Serie D · Partido ·

Goiatuba vs ASA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate34%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–1GoiatubaASA
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de74% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 34% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASA win (29.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X70.7%1.41
Más de 26% · Menos de 74%Goals 2.5Menos de74%1.35
Sí 34% · No 66%Ambos equipos marcanNo66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Goiatuba win37%2.70
Empate34%2.94
ASA win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Goiatuba0.98

Local share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 26% · Menos de 74%

ASA0.78

Visitante share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Goiatuba

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

ASA

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
GoiatubaASA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Goiatuba signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASA signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Goiatuba vs ASA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Goiatuba ganada 37%,Empate 34%,ASA ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Más de 2.5 26% · Current selection Menos de