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BRA Brasile - Serie D · Partita ·

Goiatuba vs ASA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio34%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1GoiatubaASA
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto74% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 34% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASA win (29.3%)Doppia Chance1X70.7%1.41
Sopra 26% · Sotto 74%Goals 2.5Sotto74%1.35
Sì 34% · No 66%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Goiatuba win37%2.70
Pareggio34%2.94
ASA win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Goiatuba0.98

Casa share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 26% · Sotto 74%

ASA0.78

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Goiatuba

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

ASA

3.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
GoiatubaASA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Goiatuba signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASA signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Goiatuba vs ASA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Goiatuba vinta 37%,Pareggio 34%,ASA vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Sopra 2.5 26% · Current selection Sotto