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BRA Brésil - Série D · Match ·

Goiatuba vs ASA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul34%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile37% selection probability
Projected score1–1GoiatubaASA
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 34% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASA win (29.3%)Double chance1X70.7%1.41
Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%Goals 2.5Moins de74%1.35
Oui 34% · Non 66%Les deux équipes marquentNon66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Goiatuba win37%2.70
Nul34%2.94
ASA win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Goiatuba0.98

Domicile share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%

ASA0.78

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 34% · Non 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Goiatuba

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

ASA

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
GoiatubaASA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Goiatuba signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASA signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Goiatuba vs ASA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Goiatuba victoire 37%,Nul 34%,ASA victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Plus de 2.5 26% · Current selection Moins de