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BRA Brésil - Série D · Match ·

Sao Jose RS vs Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul34%
Victoire à l’extérieur41%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Jose RSGama
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de76% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 34% / 41%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Jose RS win (24.9%)Double chanceX275.1%1.33
Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%Goals 2.5Moins de76%1.32
Oui 31% · Non 69%Les deux équipes marquentNon69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Sao Jose RS win25%4.00
Nul34%2.94
Gama win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Jose RS0.64

Domicile share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%

Gama1.06

Extérieur share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 31% · Non 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sao Jose RS

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Gama

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Sao Jose RSGama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Jose RS signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gama signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sao Jose RS vs Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Jose RS victoire 25%,Nul 34%,Gama victoire 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Plus de 2.5 24% · Current selection Moins de