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BRA Бразилия - Серия D · Мач ·

Сао Жозе РС vs Гама

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина25%
Равен34%
Победа за госта41%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сао Жозе РСГама
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под76% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
25% / 34% / 41%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сао Жозе РС win (24.9%)Двоен шансX275.1%1.33
Над 24% · Под 76%Goals 2.5Под76%1.32
Да 31% · Не 69%И двата отбора да отбележатНе69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Сао Жозе РС win25%4.00
Равен34%2.94
Гама win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сао Жозе РС0.64

Домакин share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 24% · Под 76%

Гама1.06

Гост share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 31% · Не 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Сао Жозе РС

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Гама

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Сао Жозе РСГама
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сао Жозе РС signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гама signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Сао Жозе РС vs Гама FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сао Жозе РС печеливш 25%,Равен 34%,Гама печеливш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Над 2.5 24% · Current selection Под