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BRA Бразилия - Серия D · Матч ·

Сан-Жозе vs Гама

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев25%
Ничья34%
Победа гостей41%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Сан-ЖозеГама
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше76% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
25% / 34% / 41%Исход матчаПобеда гостей41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сан-Жозе win (24.9%)Двойной шансX275.1%1.33
Больше 24% · Меньше 76%Goals 2.5Меньше76%1.32
Да 31% · Нет 69%Обе забьютНет69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Сан-Жозе win25%4.00
Ничья34%2.94
Гама win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сан-Жозе0.64

Хозяева share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 24% · Меньше 76%

Гама1.06

Гости share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 31% · Нет 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сан-Жозе

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Гама

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Сан-ЖозеГама
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сан-Жозе signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гама signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Сан-Жозе vs Гама FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сан-Жозе выигрыш 25%,Ничья 34%,Гама выигрыш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · ТБ 2.5 24% · Current selection Меньше