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BRA Brazilië - Serie D · Wedstrijd ·

Sao Jose RS vs Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst25%
Gelijkspel34%
Uitwinst41%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Jose RSGama
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
25% / 34% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Jose RS win (24.9%)Dubbele KansX275.1%1.33
Boven 24% · Onder 76%Goals 2.5Onder76%1.32
Ja 31% · Nee 69%Beide teams scorenNee69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Sao Jose RS win25%4.00
Gelijkspel34%2.94
Gama win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Jose RS0.64

Thuis share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 24% · Onder 76%

Gama1.06

Uit share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nee 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sao Jose RS

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Gama

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
12
0.64
Expected goals
1.06
Sao Jose RSGama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Jose RS signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gama signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sao Jose RS vs Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Jose RS gewonnen 25%,Gelijkspel 34%,Gama gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Boven 2.5 24% · Current selection Onder