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BRA Бразилия - Серия D · Матч ·

Гоятуба vs АСА

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья34%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ГоятубаАСА
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше74% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 34% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes АСА win (29.3%)Двойной шанс1X70.7%1.41
Больше 26% · Меньше 74%Goals 2.5Меньше74%1.35
Да 34% · Нет 66%Обе забьютНет66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Гоятуба win37%2.70
Ничья34%2.94
АСА win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Гоятуба0.98

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 26% · Меньше 74%

АСА0.78

Гости share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Нет 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Гоятуба

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

АСА

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
ГоятубаАСА
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Гоятуба signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АСА signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Гоятуба vs АСА FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Гоятуба выигрыш 37%,Ничья 34%,АСА выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · ТБ 2.5 26% · Current selection Меньше