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BRA Brazílie - Serie D · Zápas ·

Goiatuba vs ASA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích37%
Remíza34%
Výhra hostů29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích37% selection probability
Projected score1–1GoiatubaASA
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně74% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
37% / 34% / 29%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASA win (29.3%)Dvojitá šance1X70.7%1.41
Více 26% · Méně 74%Goals 2.5Méně74%1.35
Ano 34% · Ne 66%Oba týmy skórujíNe66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
10.1 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Goiatuba win37%2.70
Remíza34%2.94
ASA win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Goiatuba0.98

Domácí share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 26% · Méně 74%

ASA0.78

Hosté share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 34% · Ne 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Goiatuba

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

ASA

3.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
GoiatubaASA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Goiatuba signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASA signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Goiatuba vs ASA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Goiatuba výhra 37%,Remíza 34%,ASA výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Více 2.5 26% · Current selection Méně