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BRA Brazylia - Serie D · Mecz ·

Goiatuba vs ASA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy37%
Remis34%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy37% selection probability
Projected score1–1GoiatubaASA
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej74% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
37% / 34% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASA win (29.3%)Podwójna szansa1X70.7%1.41
Powyżej 26% · Poniżej 74%Goals 2.5Poniżej74%1.35
Tak 34% · Nie 66%Obie drużyny strzeląNie66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Goiatuba win37%2.70
Remis34%2.94
ASA win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Goiatuba0.98

Gospodarze share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 26% · Poniżej 74%

ASA0.78

Goście share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 34% · Nie 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Goiatuba

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

ASA

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
GoiatubaASA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Goiatuba signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASA signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Goiatuba vs ASA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Goiatuba wygrana 37%,Remis 34%,ASA wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Powyżej 2.5 26% · Current selection Poniżej