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BRA Brazil Serie D · Maç ·

Goiatuba vs ASA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.76 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır37%
Beraberlik34%
Deplasman kazanır29%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır37% selection probability
Projected score1–1GoiatubaASA
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt74% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
37% / 34% / 29%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ASA win (29.3%)Çifte Şans1X70.7%1.41
Üst 26% · Alt 74%Goals 2.5Alt74%1.35
Evet 34% · Hayır 66%Karşılıklı gol varHayır66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Goiatuba win37%2.70
Beraberlik34%2.94
ASA win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Goiatuba0.98

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 26% · Alt 74%

ASA0.78

Deplasman share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 34% · Hayır 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Goiatuba

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

ASA

3.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puan15

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
15
0.98
Expected goals
0.78
GoiatubaASA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Goiatuba signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ASA signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Goiatuba vs ASA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Goiatuba kazanç 37%,Beraberlik 34%,ASA kazanç 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · 2.5 Üst 26% · Current selection Alt