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BRA Brasil - Série D · Final ·

Nacional AM vs ABC

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score1–2Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa36%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante32%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional AMABC
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo72% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
36% / 32% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Dupla Chance1268%1.47
Acima 28% · Abaixo 72%Goals 2.5Abaixo72%1.39
Sim 37% · Não 63%Ambas as equipes marcamNão63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapABC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional AM win36%2.782.5035.7%+0.3 pp
Empate32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
ABC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional AM0.98

Mandante share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 28% · Abaixo 72%

ABC0.86

Visitante share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 37% · Não 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Nacional AM

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

ABC

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.86
Nacional AMABC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional AM signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ABC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Nacional AM vs ABC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional AM ganhou 36%,Empate 32%,ABC ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Acima 2.5 28% · Current selection Abaixo