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BRA Brazil Serie D · Final ·

Nacional AM vs ABC

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score1–2Tahmin 1–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır36%
Beraberlik32%
Deplasman kazanır32%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Kaybetti
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional AMABC
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt72% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
36% / 32% / 32%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Çifte Şans1268%1.47
Üst 28% · Alt 72%Goals 2.5Alt72%1.39
Evet 37% · Hayır 63%Karşılıklı gol varHayır63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapABC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional AM win36%2.782.5035.7%+0.3 pp
Beraberlik32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
ABC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional AM0.98

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 28% · Alt 72%

ABC0.86

Deplasman share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 37% · Hayır 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Nacional AM

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

ABC

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.86
Nacional AMABC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional AM signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ABC signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Nacional AM vs ABC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional AM kazanç 36%,Beraberlik 32%,ABC kazanç 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · 2.5 Üst 28% · Current selection Alt