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BRA Brasilien - Serie D · Final ·

Nacional AM vs ABC

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–2Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger36%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger32%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional AMABC
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
36% / 32% / 32%MatchresultatHemmaseger36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Dubbelchans1268%1.47
Över 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Ja 37% · Nej 63%Båda lagen gör målNej63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapABC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional AM win36%2.782.5035.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
ABC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional AM0.98

Hemma share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 28% · Under 72%

ABC0.86

Borta share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nej 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Nacional AM

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

ABC

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.86
Nacional AMABC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional AM signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ABC signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Nacional AM vs ABC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional AM vunnen 36%,Oavgjort 32%,ABC vunnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Över 2.5 28% · Current selection Under