Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 26% / 19%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)Double chance1X81.2%1.23
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Karma win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.3%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%
Away share of expected goals 29.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAl Karma
WDDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMosul FC
DLDDL
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
19%9
Points from supplied form
31.54
Expected goals
0.65Al KarmaMosul FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Al Karma vs Mosul FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al Karma win 55%，Draw 26%，Mosul FC win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under。