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INT Iraque - Stars League · Final ·

Al Karma vs Mosul FC

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score1–1Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa55%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante19%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al KarmaMosul FC
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo63% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
55% / 26% / 19%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)Dupla Chance1X81.2%1.23
Acima 37% · Abaixo 63%Goals 2.5Abaixo63%1.59
Sim 38% · Não 62%Ambas as equipes marcamNão62%1.61
2.19 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Karma win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karma1.54

Mandante share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 37% · Abaixo 63%

Mosul FC0.65

Visitante share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 38% · Não 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Al Karma

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mosul FC

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
0.65
Al KarmaMosul FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karma signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosul FC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Karma vs Mosul FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karma ganhou 55%,Empate 26%,Mosul FC ganhou 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Acima 2.5 37% · Current selection Abaixo