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INT Irak - Stars League · Final ·

Al Karma vs Mosul FC

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–1Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți19%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al KarmaMosul FC
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub63% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 26% / 19%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)Șansă dublă1X81.2%1.23
Peste 37% · Sub 63%Goals 2.5Sub63%1.59
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
2.19 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Karma win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
Egal26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karma1.54

Gazde share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 37% · Sub 63%

Mosul FC0.65

Oaspeți share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Al Karma

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Mosul FC

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
0.65
Al KarmaMosul FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karma signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosul FC signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Karma vs Mosul FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karma câștig 55%,Egal 26%,Mosul FC câștig 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Peste 2.5 37% · Current selection Sub