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INT Iraagi Stars League · Final ·

Al Karma vs Mosul FC

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score1–1Ennustus 2–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit55%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit19%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Kaotatud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al KarmaMosul FC
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla63% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
55% / 26% / 19%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)Topeltvõimalus1X81.2%1.23
Üle 37% · Alla 63%Goals 2.5Alla63%1.59
Jah 38% · Ei 62%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi62%1.61
2.19 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.0 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Karma win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
Viik26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karma1.54

Kodu share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 37% · Alla 63%

Mosul FC0.65

Võõras share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 38% · Ei 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Al Karma

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punktid9

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Mosul FC

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punktid3

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Võit probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
0.65
Al KarmaMosul FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karma signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosul FC signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Karma vs Mosul FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karma võit 55%,Viik 26%,Mosul FC võit 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Üle 2.5 37% · Current selection Alla