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INT イラク スターズリーグ · Final ·

Al Karma vs Mosul FC

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score1–1予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利55%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利19%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction 不的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al KarmaMosul FC
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー63% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
55% / 26% / 19%試合結果ホーム勝利55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)ダブルチャンス1X81.2%1.23
オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%Goals 2.5アンダー63%1.59
はい 38% · いいえ 62%両チーム得点いいえ62%1.61
2.19 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.0 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Karma win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karma1.54

ホーム share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%

Mosul FC0.65

アウェイ share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 38% · いいえ 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

Al Karma

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

Mosul FC

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
勝ち probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
0.65
Al KarmaMosul FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karma signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosul FC signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Karma vs Mosul FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karma 勝ち 55%,引き分け 26%,Mosul FC 勝ち 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · オーバー 2.5 37% · Current selection アンダー