MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT Irak - Stars League · Final ·

Al Karma vs Mosul FC

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al KarmaMosul FC
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 26% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)Dubbele Kans1X81.2%1.23
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 38% · Nee 62%Beide teams scorenNee62%1.61
2.19 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Karma win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karma1.54

Thuis share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%

Mosul FC0.65

Uit share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nee 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Al Karma

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Mosul FC

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
0.65
Al KarmaMosul FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karma signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosul FC signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Karma vs Mosul FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karma gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 26%,Mosul FC gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder