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INT 伊拉克Stars聯賽 · Final ·

阿爾卡瑪 vs Mosul FC

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score1–1預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝55%
26%
客勝19%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction 未命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝55% selection probability
Projected score2–1阿爾卡瑪Mosul FC
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.563% for the selected side
雙方進球62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
55% / 26% / 19%比賽結果主勝55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)雙重機會1X81.2%1.23
大 37% · 小 63%Goals 2.563%1.59
是 38% · 否 62%雙方進球62%1.61
2.19 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
阿爾卡瑪 win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿爾卡瑪1.54

主隊 share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 37% · 63%

Mosul FC0.65

客隊 share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 38% · 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿爾卡瑪

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

Mosul FC

0.60pts / match
5Wins0Drawn3Losses2積分3

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
贏 probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
0.65
阿爾卡瑪Mosul FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿爾卡瑪 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosul FC signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

阿爾卡瑪 vs Mosul FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿爾卡瑪 55%, 26%,Mosul FC 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 大2.5 37% · Current selection