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INT Iraq Stars League · Final ·

Al Karma vs Mosul FC

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score1–1Tahmin 2–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır55%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır19%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Kaybetti
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al KarmaMosul FC
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt63% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
55% / 26% / 19%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)Çifte Şans1X81.2%1.23
Üst 37% · Alt 63%Goals 2.5Alt63%1.59
Evet 38% · Hayır 62%Karşılıklı gol varHayır62%1.61
2.19 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.0 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Karma win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
Beraberlik26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karma1.54

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 37% · Alt 63%

Mosul FC0.65

Deplasman share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 38% · Hayır 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Al Karma

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Mosul FC

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
0.65
Al KarmaMosul FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karma signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosul FC signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Karma vs Mosul FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karma kazanç 55%,Beraberlik 26%,Mosul FC kazanç 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 2.5 Üst 37% · Current selection Alt