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INT Irak - Stars League · Final ·

Al Karma vs Mosul FC

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–1Prognos 2–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger55%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger19%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al KarmaMosul FC
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
55% / 26% / 19%MatchresultatHemmaseger55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mosul FC win (18.8%)Dubbelchans1X81.2%1.23
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 38% · Nej 62%Båda lagen gör målNej62%1.61
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Karma win55%1.821.6555%0.0 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Mosul FC win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Karma1.54

Hemma share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

Mosul FC0.65

Borta share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nej 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Al Karma

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Mosul FC

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.54
Expected goals
0.65
Al KarmaMosul FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Karma signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mosul FC signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Al Karma vs Mosul FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Karma vunnen 55%,Oavgjort 26%,Mosul FC vunnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under