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INT Irak - Stars League · Match ·

Al Talaba vs Newroz SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger31%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al TalabaNewroz SC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över50% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 29% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Dubbelchans1270.6%1.42
Över 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Över50%2.00
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.68 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Talaba win40%2.502.2539.6%+0.4 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp
Newroz SC win31%3.232.9030.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Talaba1.49

Hemma share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 50% · Under 50%

Newroz SC1.19

Borta share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Al Talaba

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Poäng4

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Newroz SC

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.49
Expected goals
1.19
Al TalabaNewroz SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Talaba signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newroz SC signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Al Talaba vs Newroz SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Talaba vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 29%,Newroz SC vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Över 2.5 50% · Current selection Över