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INT Irak - Stars League · Match ·

Al Talaba vs Newroz SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al TalabaNewroz SC
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 29% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Double chance1270.6%1.42
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Plus de50%2.00
Oui 54% · Non 46%Les deux équipes marquentOui54%1.85
2.68 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Talaba win40%2.502.2539.6%+0.4 pp
Nul29%3.453.0029.7%-0.7 pp
Newroz SC win31%3.232.9030.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Talaba1.49

Domicile share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Newroz SC1.19

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 54% · Non 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Al Talaba

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Newroz SC

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.49
Expected goals
1.19
Al TalabaNewroz SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Talaba signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newroz SC signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Al Talaba vs Newroz SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Talaba victoire 40%,Nul 29%,Newroz SC victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Plus de