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JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Flora Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.05 expected goals
Away form
Home win21%
Draw25%
Away win54%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win54% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Tammeka TartuFC Flora Tallinn
Expected goals3.05Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 25% / 54%Match resultAway win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Tammeka Tartu win (20.8%)Double chanceX279.2%1.26
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
3.05 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
11.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
JK Tammeka Tartu win21%4.76
Draw25%4.00
FC Flora Tallinn win54%1.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tammeka Tartu0.95

Home share of expected goals 31.1%

Total expected goals3.05Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

FC Flora Tallinn2.10

Away share of expected goals 68.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

JK Tammeka Tartu

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
54%
9
Points from supplied form
6
0.95
Expected goals
2.10
JK Tammeka TartuFC Flora Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tammeka Tartu signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Flora Tallinn signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Flora Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tammeka Tartu win 21%,Draw 25%,FC Flora Tallinn win 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over