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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Fixture ·

Al Faisaly Harmah vs Al Fateh SC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.90 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw27%
Away win36%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al Faisaly HarmahAl Fateh SC
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 27% / 36%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Double chance1273.2%1.37
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Faisaly Harmah win38%2.632.4037.2%
Draw27%3.703.3027.1%
Al Fateh SC win36%2.782.5035.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Faisaly Harmah1.49

Home share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Al Fateh SC1.41

Away share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Faisaly Harmah

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Fateh SC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.49
Expected goals
1.41
Al Faisaly HarmahAl Fateh SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Faisaly Harmah signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Fateh SC signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Al Faisaly Harmah vs Al Fateh SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Faisaly Harmah win 38%,Draw 27%,Al Fateh SC win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over