Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 27% / 26%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (26.1%)Double chance1X73.9%1.35
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.96 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Al Shabab Riyadh win47%2.13
Draw27%3.70
Al Riyadh win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62.2%
Total expected goals2.96Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%
Away share of expected goals 37.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAl Shabab Riyadh
DLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAl Riyadh
LLWDW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Win probability excluding draw
26%4
Points from supplied form
71.84
Expected goals
1.12Al Shabab RiyadhAl Riyadh
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al Shabab Riyadh win 47%，Draw 27%，Al Riyadh win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.96 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over。