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INT Arabia Saudita - Pro League · Partita ·

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al Shabab RiyadhAl Riyadh
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 27% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (26.1%)Doppia Chance1X73.9%1.35
Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%Goals 2.5Sopra57%1.75
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.96 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Al Shabab Riyadh win47%2.13
Pareggio27%3.70
Al Riyadh win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Shabab Riyadh1.84

Casa share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%

Al Riyadh1.12

Trasferta share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Al Shabab Riyadh

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Al Riyadh

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.84
Expected goals
1.12
Al Shabab RiyadhAl Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Shabab Riyadh signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Riyadh signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Shabab Riyadh vinta 47%,Pareggio 27%,Al Riyadh vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Sopra 2.5 57% · Current selection Sopra