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INT Arabie Saoudite - Pro League · Match ·

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile47%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al Shabab RiyadhAl Riyadh
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 27% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Riyadh win (26.1%)Double chance1X73.9%1.35
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
2.96 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Al Shabab Riyadh win47%2.13
Nul27%3.70
Al Riyadh win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Shabab Riyadh1.84

Domicile share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Al Riyadh1.12

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Al Shabab Riyadh

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Al Riyadh

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.84
Expected goals
1.12
Al Shabab RiyadhAl Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Shabab Riyadh signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Riyadh signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Shabab Riyadh victoire 47%,Nul 27%,Al Riyadh victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de