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INT Arabie Saoudite - Pro League · Match ·

Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–33.61 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile11%
Nul17%
Victoire à l’extérieur72%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur72% selection probability
Projected score1–3Al Ittifaq DammamAl-Nassr Riyadh
Expected goals3.61Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
11% / 17% / 72%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Ittifaq Dammam win (11.1%)Double chanceX288.9%1.12
Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%Goals 2.5Plus de70%1.43
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
3.61 total expected goalsScore exact1–3
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapAl-Nassr Riyadh winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Ittifaq Dammam win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp
Nul17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Al-Nassr Riyadh win72%1.391.2571.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Ittifaq Dammam0.93

Domicile share of expected goals 25.8%

Total expected goals3.61Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.68

Extérieur share of expected goals 74.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Al Ittifaq Dammam

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
11%
Gagné probability excluding draw
72%
10
Points from supplied form
13
0.93
Expected goals
2.68
Al Ittifaq DammamAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Ittifaq Dammam signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Nassr Riyadh signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–3 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Ittifaq Dammam victoire 11%,Nul 17%,Al-Nassr Riyadh victoire 72%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Plus de 2.5 70% · Current selection Plus de