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INT Saudiarabien - Pro League · Match ·

Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–33.61 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger11%
Oavgjort17%
Bortaseger72%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger72% selection probability
Projected score1–3Al Ittifaq DammamAl-Nassr Riyadh
Expected goals3.61Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över70% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
11% / 17% / 72%MatchresultatBortaseger72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Ittifaq Dammam win (11.1%)DubbelchansX288.9%1.12
Över 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Över70%1.43
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Båda lagen gör målJa57%1.75
3.61 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapAl-Nassr Riyadh winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Ittifaq Dammam win11%9.098.0011.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Al-Nassr Riyadh win72%1.391.2571.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Ittifaq Dammam0.93

Hemma share of expected goals 25.8%

Total expected goals3.61Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 70% · Under 30%

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.68

Borta share of expected goals 74.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Al Ittifaq Dammam

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
11%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
72%
10
Points from supplied form
13
0.93
Expected goals
2.68
Al Ittifaq DammamAl-Nassr Riyadh
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Ittifaq Dammam signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Nassr Riyadh signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Al Ittifaq Dammam vs Al-Nassr Riyadh FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–3 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Ittifaq Dammam vunnen 11%,Oavgjort 17%,Al-Nassr Riyadh vunnen 72%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Över 2.5 70% · Current selection Över