Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
85% / 10% / 5%Match resultHome win85%1.18
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Novi Pazar win (5%)Double chance1X95%1.05
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
3.67 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crvena Zvezda win85%1.181.1084.7%+0.3 pp
Draw10%10.009.0010.4%-0.4 pp
FK Novi Pazar win5%20.0019.004.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 80.1%
Total expected goals3.67Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%
Away share of expected goals 19.9%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchCrvena Zvezda
LWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchFK Novi Pazar
LDWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
85%
Win probability excluding draw
5%12
Points from supplied form
42.94
Expected goals
0.73Crvena ZvezdaFK Novi Pazar
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 10%.
Match questions
Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 85% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Crvena Zvezda win 85%，Draw 10%，FK Novi Pazar win 5%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.67 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over。