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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score3–13.67 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích85%
Remíza10%
Výhra hostů5%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 85% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích85% selection probability
Projected score3–1Crvena ZvezdaFK Novi Pazar
Expected goals3.67Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více71% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
85% / 10% / 5%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích85%1.18
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Novi Pazar win (5%)Dvojitá šance1X95%1.05
Více 71% · Méně 29%Goals 2.5Více71%1.41
Ano 49% · Ne 51%Oba týmy skórujíNe51%1.96
3.67 total expected goalsPřesné skóre3–1
9.1 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crvena Zvezda win85%1.181.1084.7%+0.3 pp
Remíza10%10.009.0010.4%-0.4 pp
FK Novi Pazar win5%20.0019.004.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crvena Zvezda2.94

Domácí share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.67Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 71% · Méně 29%

FK Novi Pazar0.73

Hosté share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitAno 49% · Ne 51%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Crvena Zvezda

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

FK Novi Pazar

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
85%
Výhra probability excluding draw
5%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.94
Expected goals
0.73
Crvena ZvezdaFK Novi Pazar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crvena Zvezda signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Novi Pazar signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk15% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 3–1 · 85% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crvena Zvezda výhra 85%,Remíza 10%,FK Novi Pazar výhra 5%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Více 2.5 71% · Current selection Více