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SRB 塞爾維亞超級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

貝爾格萊德紅星 vs FK 諾維帕紮爾

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–13.67 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝85%
10%
客勝5%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 85% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝85% selection probability
Projected score3–1貝爾格萊德紅星FK 諾維帕紮爾
Expected goals3.67初盤 match profile
Goals 2.571% for the selected side
雙方進球51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
85% / 10% / 5%比賽結果主勝85%1.18
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK 諾維帕紮爾 win (5%)雙重機會1X95%1.05
大 71% · 小 29%Goals 2.571%1.41
是 49% · 否 51%雙方進球51%1.96
3.67 total expected goals正確比分3–1
9.1 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
貝爾格萊德紅星 win85%1.181.1084.7%+0.3 pp
10%10.009.0010.4%-0.4 pp
FK 諾維帕紮爾 win5%20.0019.004.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

貝爾格萊德紅星2.94

主隊 share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.67初盤

Dedicated goals model: 71% · 29%

FK 諾維帕紮爾0.73

客隊 share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 49% · 51%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

貝爾格萊德紅星

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

FK 諾維帕紮爾

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
85%
贏 probability excluding draw
5%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.94
Expected goals
0.73
貝爾格萊德紅星FK 諾維帕紮爾
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01貝爾格萊德紅星 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK 諾維帕紮爾 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk15% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

貝爾格萊德紅星 vs FK 諾維帕紮爾 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 85% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

貝爾格萊德紅星 85%, 10%,FK 諾維帕紮爾 5%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · 大2.5 71% · Current selection