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SRB セルビア スーペルリーガ · Round 1 ·

レッドスター・ベオグラード vs FKノビパザル

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score3–13.67 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利82%
引き分け12%
アウェイ勝利6%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 82% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利82% selection probability
Projected score3–1レッドスター・ベオグラードFKノビパザル
Expected goals3.67始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
82% / 12% / 6%試合結果ホーム勝利82%1.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FKノビパザル win (6.2%)ダブルチャンス1X93.8%1.07
オーバー 71% · アンダー 29%Goals 2.5オーバー71%1.41
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
3.67 total expected goals正確なスコア3–1
9.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
レッドスター・ベオグラード win82%1.221.1482.1%-0.1 pp
引き分け12%8.338.0011.7%+0.3 pp
FKノビパザル win6%16.6715.006.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レッドスター・ベオグラード2.94

ホーム share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.67始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 71% · アンダー 29%

FKノビパザル0.73

アウェイ share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レッドスター・ベオグラード

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FKノビパザル

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
82%
勝ち probability excluding draw
6%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.94
Expected goals
0.73
レッドスター・ベオグラードFKノビパザル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レッドスター・ベオグラード signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FKノビパザル signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk18% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

レッドスター・ベオグラード vs FKノビパザル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 3–1 · 82% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レッドスター・ベオグラード 勝ち 82%,引き分け 12%,FKノビパザル 勝ち 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · オーバー 2.5 71% · Current selection オーバー