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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
SRB Serbia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score3–13.67 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem85%
Döntetlen10%
Vendég győzelem5%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 85% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem85% selection probability
Projected score3–1Crvena ZvezdaFK Novi Pazar
Expected goals3.67Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett71% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
85% / 10% / 5%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem85%1.18
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Novi Pazar win (5%)Dupla esély1X95%1.05
Felett 71% · Alatt 29%Goals 2.5Felett71%1.41
Igen 49% · Nem 51%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem51%1.96
3.67 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–1
9.1 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crvena Zvezda win85%1.181.1084.7%+0.3 pp
Döntetlen10%10.009.0010.4%-0.4 pp
FK Novi Pazar win5%20.0019.004.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crvena Zvezda2.94

Hazai share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals3.67Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 71% · Alatt 29%

FK Novi Pazar0.73

Vendég share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitIgen 49% · Nem 51%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Crvena Zvezda

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

FK Novi Pazar

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
85%
Nyert probability excluding draw
5%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.94
Expected goals
0.73
Crvena ZvezdaFK Novi Pazar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crvena Zvezda signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Novi Pazar signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk15% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

Crvena Zvezda vs FK Novi Pazar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 3–1 · 85% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crvena Zvezda nyer 85%,Döntetlen 10%,FK Novi Pazar nyer 5%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · 2.5 felett 71% · Current selection Felett