Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 33% / 28%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortaleza win (27.6%)Double chance1X72.4%1.38
Over 19% · Under 81%Goals 2.5Under81%1.23
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
1.49 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCuiaba winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cuiaba win39%2.562.3040.8%-1.8 pp
Draw33%3.032.9032.4%+0.6 pp
Fortaleza win28%3.573.5026.8%+1.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 43.6%
Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 19% · Under 81%
Away share of expected goals 56.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCuiaba
DLLDW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFortaleza
WLWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
28%5
Points from supplied form
90.65
Expected goals
0.84CuiabaFortaleza
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Cuiaba vs Fortaleza FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Cuiaba win 39%，Draw 33%，Fortaleza win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.49 · Over 2.5 19% · Current selection Under。