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BRA Brazil Serie B · Match ·

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.51 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort33%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CuiabaFortaleza
Expected goals1.51Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under81% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 33% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortaleza win (27.6%)Dubbelchans1X72.4%1.38
Över 19% · Under 81%Goals 2.5Under81%1.23
Ja 28% · Nej 72%Båda lagen gör målNej72%1.39
1.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCuiaba winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cuiaba win39%2.562.3040.8%-1.8 pp
Oavgjort33%3.032.9032.4%+0.6 pp
Fortaleza win28%3.573.5026.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cuiaba0.66

Hemma share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals1.51Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 19% · Under 81%

Fortaleza0.85

Borta share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 28% · Nej 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Cuiaba

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.66
Expected goals
0.85
CuiabaFortaleza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cuiaba signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortaleza signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cuiaba vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 33%,Fortaleza vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.51 · Över 2.5 19% · Current selection Under