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BRA Brazil Serie B · Meci ·

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.51 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal33%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde37% selection probability
Projected score1–1CuiabaFortaleza
Expected goals1.51Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub81% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 33% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortaleza win (30%)Șansă dublă1X70%1.43
Peste 19% · Sub 81%Goals 2.5Sub81%1.23
Da 28% · Nu 72%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu72%1.39
1.51 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCuiaba winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cuiaba win37%2.702.4538.3%-1.3 pp
Egal33%3.032.9032.4%+0.6 pp
Fortaleza win30%3.333.2029.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cuiaba0.66

Gazde share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals1.51Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 19% · Sub 81%

Fortaleza0.85

Oaspeți share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 28% · Nu 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Cuiaba

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.66
Expected goals
0.85
CuiabaFortaleza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cuiaba signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortaleza signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cuiaba câștig 37%,Egal 33%,Fortaleza câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.51 · Peste 2.5 19% · Current selection Sub