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BRA ブラジル セリエB · 試合 ·

クイアバ vs フォルタレザ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.51 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1クイアバフォルタレザ
Expected goals1.51Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー81% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 33% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フォルタレザ win (27.6%)ダブルチャンス1X72.4%1.38
オーバー 19% · アンダー 81%Goals 2.5アンダー81%1.23
はい 28% · いいえ 72%両チーム得点いいえ72%1.39
1.51 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapクイアバ winDifference-1.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
クイアバ win39%2.562.3040.8%-1.8 pp
引き分け33%3.032.9032.4%+0.6 pp
フォルタレザ win28%3.573.5026.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

クイアバ0.66

ホーム share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals1.51Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 19% · アンダー 81%

フォルタレザ0.85

アウェイ share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 28% · いいえ 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

クイアバ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フォルタレザ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.66
Expected goals
0.85
クイアバフォルタレザ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01クイアバ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フォルタレザ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

クイアバ vs フォルタレザ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

クイアバ 勝ち 39%,引き分け 33%,フォルタレザ 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.51 · オーバー 2.5 19% · Current selection アンダー