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BRA Brazil Serie B · Αγώνας ·

Κουϊάμπα vs Φορταλέζα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία33%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου28%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΚουϊάμπαΦορταλέζα
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω81% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 33% / 28%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Φορταλέζα win (27.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X72.4%1.38
Άνω 19% · Κάτω 81%Goals 2.5Κάτω81%1.23
Ναι 28% · Όχι 72%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι72%1.39
1.49 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapΚουϊάμπα winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Κουϊάμπα win39%2.562.3040.8%-1.8 pp
Ισοπαλία33%3.032.9032.4%+0.6 pp
Φορταλέζα win28%3.573.5026.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κουϊάμπα0.65

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 43.6%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 19% · Κάτω 81%

Φορταλέζα0.84

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 56.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 28% · Όχι 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κουϊάμπα

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φορταλέζα

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.65
Expected goals
0.84
ΚουϊάμπαΦορταλέζα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κουϊάμπα signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φορταλέζα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Κουϊάμπα vs Φορταλέζα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κουϊάμπα νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 33%,Φορταλέζα νίκη 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Άνω 2.5 19% · Current selection Κάτω