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BRA Brazil Serie B · Partida ·

Cuiabá EC vs Fortaleza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.51 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate33%
Vitória visitante28%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Cuiabá ECFortaleza
Expected goals1.51Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo81% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 33% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortaleza win (27.6%)Dupla Chance1X72.4%1.38
Acima 19% · Abaixo 81%Goals 2.5Abaixo81%1.23
Sim 28% · Não 72%Ambas as equipes marcamNão72%1.39
1.51 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCuiabá EC winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cuiabá EC win39%2.562.3040.8%-1.8 pp
Empate33%3.032.9032.4%+0.6 pp
Fortaleza win28%3.573.5026.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cuiabá EC0.66

Mandante share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals1.51Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 19% · Abaixo 81%

Fortaleza0.85

Visitante share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 28% · Não 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Cuiabá EC

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.66
Expected goals
0.85
Cuiabá ECFortaleza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cuiabá EC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortaleza signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Cuiabá EC vs Fortaleza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cuiabá EC ganhou 39%,Empate 33%,Fortaleza ganhou 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.51 · Acima 2.5 19% · Current selection Abaixo