MatchFormula Buscar un partido
Menu
UTC+8
Zona horariaAsia/Shanghai
Español
BRA Brasil - Serie B · Partido ·

Cuiabá vs Fortaleza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate33%
Victoria visitante28%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CuiabáFortaleza
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de81% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 33% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortaleza win (27.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X72.4%1.38
Más de 19% · Menos de 81%Goals 2.5Menos de81%1.23
Sí 28% · No 72%Ambos equipos marcanNo72%1.39
1.49 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCuiabá winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cuiabá win39%2.562.3040.8%-1.8 pp
Empate33%3.032.9032.4%+0.6 pp
Fortaleza win28%3.573.5026.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cuiabá0.65

Local share of expected goals 43.6%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 19% · Menos de 81%

Fortaleza0.84

Visitante share of expected goals 56.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Cuiabá

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.65
Expected goals
0.84
CuiabáFortaleza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cuiabá signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortaleza signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Cuiabá vs Fortaleza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cuiabá ganada 39%,Empate 33%,Fortaleza ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Más de 2.5 19% · Current selection Menos de