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BRA Brazil Serie B · Match ·

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.51 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul33%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CuiabaFortaleza
Expected goals1.51Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de81% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 33% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortaleza win (27.6%)Double chance1X72.4%1.38
Plus de 19% · Moins de 81%Goals 2.5Moins de81%1.23
Oui 28% · Non 72%Les deux équipes marquentNon72%1.39
1.51 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapCuiaba winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cuiaba win39%2.562.3040.8%-1.8 pp
Nul33%3.032.9032.4%+0.6 pp
Fortaleza win28%3.573.5026.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cuiaba0.66

Domicile share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals1.51Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 19% · Moins de 81%

Fortaleza0.85

Extérieur share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 28% · Non 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cuiaba

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Fortaleza

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.66
Expected goals
0.85
CuiabaFortaleza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cuiaba signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortaleza signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cuiaba victoire 39%,Nul 33%,Fortaleza victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.51 · Plus de 2.5 19% · Current selection Moins de