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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa26%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite43%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite43% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto70% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
26% / 31% / 43%Esito partitaVittoria ospite43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (25.8%)Doppia ChanceX274.2%1.35
Sopra 30% · Sotto 70%Goals 2.5Sotto70%1.43
Sì 35% · No 65%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo65%1.54
1.91 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapExcursionistas winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Brown de Adrogue win26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio31%3.232.8831.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas win43%2.332.1042.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Brown de Adrogue0.68

Casa share of expected goals 35.6%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 30% · Sotto 70%

Excursionistas1.23

Trasferta share of expected goals 64.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Excursionistas

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vinta probability excluding draw
43%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.68
Expected goals
1.23
CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Brown de Adrogue signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Brown de Adrogue vinta 26%,Pareggio 31%,Excursionistas vinta 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Sopra 2.5 30% · Current selection Sotto