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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Liniers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa34%
Pareggio34%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Defensores UnidosDeportivo Liniers
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto76% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
34% / 34% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Liniers win (31.3%)Doppia Chance1X68.7%1.46
Sopra 24% · Sotto 76%Goals 2.5Sotto76%1.32
Sì 33% · No 67%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo67%1.49
1.70 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Defensores Unidos win34%2.94
Pareggio34%2.94
Deportivo Liniers win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensores Unidos0.89

Casa share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 24% · Sotto 76%

Deportivo Liniers0.81

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Defensores Unidos

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Deportivo Liniers

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
2
Points from supplied form
3
0.89
Expected goals
0.81
Defensores UnidosDeportivo Liniers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensores Unidos signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Liniers signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Liniers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensores Unidos vinta 34%,Pareggio 34%,Deportivo Liniers vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Sopra 2.5 24% · Current selection Sotto